PnL (30d)

−$770

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$423

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-15.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

14%

1,197W / 7,398L · 791 open

Win Return (30d)

19%

1,814W / 7,558L · 14 open

Trades (30d)

9,386

across 720 markets · ~13 per market

EV / position

−$1.36

avg win $25 · loss $6

Profit Factor

0.73

$2,061 won / $2,831 lost

Reward / Risk

4.31

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$232

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	13.9% 1,197W/7,398L	720	$9,037
₿ Crypto	5.9% 57W/908L	118	$823
💵 Economy	18.2% 10W/45L	38	$569
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/21L	14	$166
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/1L	6	$24
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/7L	3	$31

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	8,086	0.015	$121.29	$93.05	+329.4%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	11,467	0.008	$91.73	$28.15	+44.3%
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 in August?	Yes	100	0.370	$37.00	$33.00	+825.0%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	5,029	0.004	$20.12	$-7.08	-26.0%
Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	1,400	0.013	$17.50	$-10.50	-37.5%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	5,556	0.003	$16.67	$-3.22	-16.2%
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	433	0.038	$16.46	$-3.62	-18.0%
Will Chainlink dip to $2 in August?	Yes	300	0.053	$16.05	$13.05	+435.0%
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	176	0.085	$14.93	$0.88	+6.2%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 5?	Yes	1,800	0.008	$14.40	$8.10	+128.7%
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?	Yes	200	0.070	$14.00	$6.00	+75.0%
Will USD/JPY hit 130 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	300	0.045	$13.50	$0.50	+3.8%
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?	No	21	0.615	$12.92	$12.88	+30649.6%
Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	200	0.065	$12.90	$6.70	+108.1%
Will ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026?	Yes	36	0.355	$12.76	$11.68	+1083.3%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	5,000	0.003	$12.50	$-2.48	-16.6%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in August?	Yes	292	0.040	$11.67	$0.92	+8.5%
Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	103	0.110	$11.28	$-1.13	-9.1%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in August?	Yes	361	0.030	$10.84	$-5.00	-31.6%
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?	Yes	100	0.105	$10.50	$0.50	+5.0%
Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	227	0.045	$10.23	$0.86	+9.2%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	600	0.017	$9.90	$3.76	+61.2%
Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026?	Yes	408	0.024	$9.58	$-2.57	-21.2%
Will Strava not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	125	0.075	$9.41	$5.21	+123.9%
Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	200	0.045	$9.00	$1.00	+12.5%