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Trader leaderboard/niglette

niglette

0x23ed02fdee555e7a7790f9ce79efccebf9dfaebc
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$153
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$15
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-22.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
53%
89W / 79L · 18 open
Win Return (30d)
49%
89W / 92L · 5 open
Trades (30d)
186
across 135 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$1.25
avg win $2 · loss $5
Profit Factor
0.46
$131 won / $283 lost
Reward / Risk
0.42
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$162
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $1,457,242

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 41.8% 179W/249L 436 $4,288
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/5L 2 $226

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? Yes 71 0.362 $25.89 $24.03 +1294.2%
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $AIX? Yes 118 0.199 $23.45 $21.58 +1153.7%
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%? Yes 20 0.986 $19.72 $13.28 +206.2%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes 124 0.107 $13.31 $11.45 +616.7%
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 85 0.154 $13.09 $10.93 +505.2%
Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026? Yes 37 0.311 $11.55 $9.69 +522.0%
Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes 121 0.090 $10.91 $9.70 +805.0%
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026? Yes 22 0.469 $10.25 $8.39 +451.8%
Will Fred Harding win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? Yes 180 0.053 $9.62 $8.00 +494.4%
Will Angie Nixon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? Yes 116 0.072 $8.36 $6.50 +350.0%
Will BLACKPINK perform at Coachella 2027? Yes 17 0.480 $7.92 $4.21 +113.4%
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026? Yes 80 0.095 $7.56 $6.44 +575.0%
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? Yes 30 0.245 $7.35 $5.85 +390.0%
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR + UDMR? Yes 155 0.046 $7.20 $5.34 +287.5%
Will Matt Schultz advance from the AK-AL primary election? No 19 0.374 $6.95 $5.10 +274.5%
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include UDMR? Yes 330 0.021 $6.93 $3.22 +86.7%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR? Yes 132 0.048 $6.29 $5.27 +517.1%
Will Shang-Chi die in Avengers: Doomsday? Yes 15 0.415 $6.25 $5.19 +492.9%
Will Robert Aramayo be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes 14 0.440 $6.16 $4.34 +238.5%
Will Eric Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes 103 0.055 $5.67 $4.74 +511.1%
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR? Yes 40 0.138 $5.54 $3.68 +198.3%
Will Josh O'Connor be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes 12 0.445 $5.51 $3.65 +196.7%
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + NZF? Yes 63 0.087 $5.49 $4.86 +775.0%
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive? Yes 95 0.058 $5.45 $2.89 +113.0%
Paris Hilton pregnant in 2026? Yes 15 0.355 $5.42 $3.79 +232.1%