PnL (30d)

−$658

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$181

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-27.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

42%

179W / 249L · 201 open

Win Return (30d)

37%

227W / 387L · 15 open

Trades (30d)

629

across 436 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$2.32

avg win $2 · loss $6

Profit Factor

0.30

$283 won / $941 lost

Reward / Risk

0.36

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$245

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	41.8% 179W/249L	436	$4,288
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/5L	2	$226

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?	Yes	71	0.363	$25.93	$24.07	+1296.1%
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $AIX?	Yes	118	0.188	$22.15	$20.28	+1084.2%
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?	Yes	20	0.986	$19.72	$13.28	+206.2%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	124	0.106	$13.12	$11.27	+606.7%
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	85	0.148	$12.54	$10.38	+479.8%
Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026?	Yes	37	0.303	$11.27	$9.41	+507.0%
Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	121	0.089	$10.79	$9.58	+795.0%
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?	Yes	22	0.468	$10.21	$8.36	+450.0%
Will Fred Harding win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	180	0.052	$9.44	$7.82	+483.3%
Will Angie Nixon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?	Yes	116	0.071	$8.23	$6.37	+343.1%
Will BLACKPINK perform at Coachella 2027?	Yes	17	0.480	$7.92	$4.21	+113.4%
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?	Yes	80	0.094	$7.52	$6.40	+571.4%
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?	Yes	30	0.245	$7.35	$5.85	+390.0%
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR + UDMR?	Yes	155	0.046	$7.20	$5.34	+287.5%
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include UDMR?	Yes	330	0.021	$6.93	$3.22	+86.7%
Will Matt Schultz advance from the AK-AL primary election?	No	19	0.367	$6.82	$4.97	+267.5%
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	206	0.030	$6.19	$4.33	+233.3%
Will Shang-Chi die in Avengers: Doomsday?	Yes	15	0.410	$6.17	$5.12	+485.7%
Will Robert Aramayo be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	14	0.440	$6.16	$4.34	+238.5%
Will Ro Khanna be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	60	0.098	$5.92	$4.15	+234.1%
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR + AUR?	Yes	169	0.035	$5.91	$4.05	+218.2%
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	169	0.035	$5.91	$4.05	+218.2%
Will Eric Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	103	0.055	$5.67	$4.74	+511.1%
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR?	Yes	40	0.138	$5.54	$3.68	+198.3%
Will Josh O'Connor be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	12	0.445	$5.51	$3.65	+196.7%