0x233BACFB515aaD
0x233bacfb515aad6871027b95c5e4c6166f5c1f2c
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$1,028
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$389
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+12.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
74%
32W / 11L · 94 open
Win Return (30d)
40%
55W / 82L
Trades (30d)
137
across 22 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$114.27
avg win $219 · loss $94
Profit Factor
4.64
$1,311 won / $283 lost
Reward / Risk
2.32
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$51
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $28,557 · all-time $1,054,436
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
No |
552 |
0.925 |
$510.21 |
$262.57 |
+106.0% |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026? |
No |
301 |
0.845 |
$254.49 |
$-4.33 |
-1.7% |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
No |
242 |
0.705 |
$170.77 |
$57.49 |
+50.7% |
| Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
118 |
0.425 |
$50.30 |
$-14.31 |
-22.2% |
| Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in August? |
Yes |
65 |
0.245 |
$16.04 |
$-12.12 |
-43.0% |
| Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
172 |
0.085 |
$14.62 |
$-100.14 |
-87.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
37 |
0.215 |
$8.00 |
$-26.25 |
-76.6% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alex Jones by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.130 |
$2.60 |
$0.20 |
+8.3% |