PnL (30d)

−$1,445

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$794

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

53%

204W / 184L · 271 open

Win Return (30d)

51%

332W / 324L · 3 open

Trades (30d)

659

across 116 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$21.25

avg win $90 · loss $190

Profit Factor

0.72

$3,680 won / $5,125 lost

Reward / Risk

0.47

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$180

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	52.6% 204W/184L	116	$85,363
🏛 Politics	64.7% 11W/6L	6	$4,849
💵 Economy	100.0% 9W/0L	4	$3,124
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/6L	2	$478
🤖 Tech	—	2	$1,003

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	552	0.925	$510.21	$262.57	+106.0%
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?	No	301	0.845	$254.49	$-4.33	-1.7%
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	242	0.705	$170.77	$57.49	+50.7%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	Yes	124	0.745	$92.64	$8.39	+10.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	115	0.521	$59.83	$12.14	+25.5%
Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	118	0.405	$47.93	$-16.68	-25.8%
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	172	0.115	$19.78	$-94.98	-82.8%
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in August?	Yes	65	0.245	$16.04	$-12.12	-43.0%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	37	0.215	$8.00	$-26.25	-76.6%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alex Jones by August 31, 2026?	Yes	20	0.135	$2.70	$0.30	+12.5%