PnL (30d)

−$33

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

-47.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

27%

4W / 11L

Win Return (30d)

27%

4W / 11L

Trades (30d)

15

across 7 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$4.72

avg win $1 · loss $7

Profit Factor

0.06

$2 won / $35 lost

Reward / Risk

0.15

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	65.5% 203W/107L	188	$1,765
⚽ Sports	—	16	$308
₿ Crypto	57.1% 4W/3L	5	$36
🌤 Weather	—	3	$9
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/6L	2	$65
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/6L	2	$65
🔬 Science	—	1	$4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	Yes	245	0.367	$90.04	$56.75	+170.5%
Will Rafael Leao join Fenerbahce?	Yes	69	0.130	$8.91	$8.22	+1200.0%
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	100	0.085	$8.50	$-7.50	-46.9%
Will Dusan Vlahovic stay at Juventus?	Yes	234	0.030	$7.02	$-4.70	-40.1%
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	400	0.011	$4.60	$-1.00	-17.9%
Will Rafael Leao join Manchester United?	Yes	50	0.086	$4.28	$-0.22	-5.0%
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	25	0.130	$3.25	$0.37	+12.8%
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	25	0.095	$2.38	$-0.14	-5.5%
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	25	0.080	$2.00	$-0.50	-20.0%
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	25	0.055	$1.38	$-0.52	-27.6%
Will Mohamed Salah play in La Liga next?	Yes	564	0.002	$1.13	$-0.11	-8.8%
Will Dusan Vlahovic join Napoli?	Yes	21	0.043	$0.89	$0.83	+1316.5%
Will Yan Diomande join Paris Saint-Germain?	Yes	93	0.006	$0.56	$0.37	+199.9%
Will Yan Diomande join Bayern Munich?	Yes	295	0.001	$0.15	$-0.15	-50.0%
Will Yan Diomande join Arsenal?	Yes	178	0.001	$0.09	$-0.09	-50.0%
Will Mohamed Salah play in Premier League next?	Yes	44	0.001	$0.02	$-0.55	-96.2%
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?	No	20	0.001	$0.02	$-0.12	-85.7%
Will Bradley Barcola join Bayern Munich?	Yes	18	0.001	$0.01	$-0.04	-83.4%