PnL (30d)

−$64

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

-19.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

88%

108W / 15L

Win Return (30d)

88%

108W / 15L

Trades (30d)

123

across 80 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.80

avg win $1 · loss $7

Profit Factor

0.41

$45 won / $109 lost

Reward / Risk

0.09

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$13

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	65.7% 203W/106L	186	$1,715
⚽ Sports	—	15	$266
₿ Crypto	57.1% 4W/3L	5	$36
🌤 Weather	—	3	$8
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/6L	2	$65
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/6L	2	$65
🔬 Science	—	1	$3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

19 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	Yes	335	0.364	$122.13	$76.61	+168.3%
Will Rafael Leao join Fenerbahce?	Yes	69	0.140	$9.59	$8.91	+1300.0%
Will Dusan Vlahovic stay at Juventus?	Yes	234	0.040	$9.36	$-2.36	-20.1%
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	100	0.090	$9.00	$-7.00	-43.8%
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	300	0.011	$3.45	$-0.85	-19.8%
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	25	0.125	$3.12	$0.24	+8.4%
Will Rafael Leao join Manchester United?	Yes	50	0.059	$2.92	$-1.57	-35.0%
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	25	0.095	$2.38	$-0.14	-5.5%
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	25	0.075	$1.88	$-0.62	-25.0%
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	25	0.065	$1.62	$-0.27	-14.5%
Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 14, 2026?	No	50	0.030	$1.52	$-5.28	-77.6%
Will Mohamed Salah play in La Liga next?	Yes	564	0.002	$1.13	$-0.11	-8.8%
Will Dusan Vlahovic join Napoli?	Yes	21	0.043	$0.89	$0.83	+1316.5%
Will Yan Diomande join Paris Saint-Germain?	Yes	93	0.005	$0.46	$0.28	+150.0%
Will Yan Diomande join Bayern Munich?	Yes	295	0.001	$0.15	$-0.15	-50.0%
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?	No	20	0.004	$0.09	$-0.05	-35.7%
Will Yan Diomande join Arsenal?	Yes	178	0.001	$0.09	$-0.09	-50.0%
Will Mohamed Salah play in Premier League next?	Yes	44	0.001	$0.04	$-0.53	-92.3%
Will Bradley Barcola join Bayern Munich?	Yes	18	0.001	$0.01	$-0.04	-83.4%