| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
101,322 |
0.996 |
$100,916.68 |
$13,874.52 |
+15.9% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
95,688 |
0.987 |
$94,395.88 |
$5,774.46 |
+6.5% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
72,590 |
0.987 |
$71,610.00 |
$3,793.19 |
+5.6% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
45,162 |
0.996 |
$44,959.07 |
$3,299.74 |
+7.9% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
28,491 |
0.979 |
$27,878.56 |
$3,026.16 |
+12.2% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
27,649 |
0.875 |
$24,192.54 |
$138.24 |
+0.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
32,992 |
0.195 |
$6,433.46 |
$-16,117.38 |
-71.5% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
9,000 |
0.625 |
$5,624.99 |
$-624.99 |
-10.0% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
6,765 |
0.740 |
$5,005.77 |
$428.39 |
+9.4% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
5,000 |
0.980 |
$4,897.49 |
$697.50 |
+16.6% |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
4,901 |
0.645 |
$3,161.00 |
$-748.83 |
-19.2% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
7,398 |
0.365 |
$2,700.20 |
$85.00 |
+3.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.625 |
$1,250.01 |
$53.20 |
+4.4% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.604 |
$1,207.00 |
$-325.00 |
-21.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
1,297 |
0.835 |
$1,082.79 |
$110.22 |
+11.3% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? |
No |
1,000 |
0.998 |
$997.59 |
$73.01 |
+7.9% |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? |
Yes |
4,432 |
0.125 |
$553.97 |
$-509.65 |
-47.9% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
No |
18,182 |
0.030 |
$545.45 |
$-5,164.84 |
-90.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
545 |
0.845 |
$460.17 |
$47.43 |
+11.5% |
| Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
No |
500 |
0.843 |
$421.50 |
$-18.50 |
-4.2% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
1,512 |
0.165 |
$249.55 |
$-143.68 |
-36.5% |
| Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
227 |
0.974 |
$220.85 |
$17.89 |
+8.8% |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
1,174 |
0.175 |
$205.39 |
$-81.89 |
-28.5% |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? |
Yes |
709 |
0.275 |
$195.05 |
$-166.63 |
-46.1% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
250 |
0.643 |
$160.88 |
$5.62 |
+3.6% |