| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
101,322 |
0.992 |
$100,511.39 |
$13,469.24 |
+15.5% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
95,688 |
0.987 |
$94,443.72 |
$5,822.31 |
+6.6% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
72,590 |
0.987 |
$71,610.00 |
$3,793.19 |
+5.6% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
45,162 |
0.995 |
$44,936.49 |
$3,277.16 |
+7.9% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
28,491 |
0.954 |
$27,180.52 |
$2,328.12 |
+9.4% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
27,649 |
0.875 |
$24,192.54 |
$138.24 |
+0.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
42,992 |
0.215 |
$9,243.31 |
$-20,142.75 |
-68.5% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
9,000 |
0.625 |
$5,624.99 |
$-624.99 |
-10.0% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
6,765 |
0.735 |
$4,971.95 |
$394.57 |
+8.6% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
5,000 |
0.949 |
$4,744.99 |
$545.00 |
+13.0% |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
4,901 |
0.640 |
$3,136.50 |
$-773.34 |
-19.8% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
7,398 |
0.365 |
$2,700.20 |
$85.00 |
+3.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.615 |
$1,230.01 |
$33.20 |
+2.8% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.603 |
$1,206.00 |
$-326.00 |
-21.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
1,297 |
0.825 |
$1,069.82 |
$97.26 |
+10.0% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? |
No |
1,000 |
0.998 |
$997.59 |
$73.01 |
+7.9% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
No |
18,182 |
0.034 |
$618.18 |
$-5,092.12 |
-89.2% |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? |
Yes |
4,432 |
0.125 |
$553.97 |
$-509.65 |
-47.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
545 |
0.835 |
$454.72 |
$41.98 |
+10.2% |
| Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
No |
500 |
0.839 |
$419.25 |
$-20.75 |
-4.7% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
1,512 |
0.165 |
$249.55 |
$-143.68 |
-36.5% |
| Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
227 |
0.974 |
$220.85 |
$17.89 |
+8.8% |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
1,174 |
0.170 |
$199.52 |
$-87.75 |
-30.5% |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? |
Yes |
709 |
0.275 |
$195.05 |
$-166.63 |
-46.1% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
250 |
0.644 |
$161.00 |
$5.75 |
+3.7% |