| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
7,470 |
0.825 |
$6,162.75 |
$-105.70 |
-1.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
2,800 |
0.695 |
$1,945.71 |
$-144.27 |
-6.9% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.745 |
$1,489.00 |
$1,012.23 |
+212.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.865 |
$1,297.50 |
$7.50 |
+0.6% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
1,610 |
0.740 |
$1,191.49 |
$457.92 |
+62.4% |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
772 |
0.988 |
$762.14 |
$21.82 |
+2.9% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
4,866 |
0.147 |
$715.30 |
$294.68 |
+70.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
700 |
0.998 |
$698.25 |
$1.45 |
+0.2% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
Yes |
775 |
0.820 |
$635.23 |
$345.77 |
+119.5% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? |
No |
820 |
0.725 |
$594.59 |
$28.51 |
+5.0% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
1,486 |
0.400 |
$594.37 |
$16.25 |
+2.8% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
523 |
1.000 |
$522.33 |
$43.98 |
+9.2% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
500 |
0.987 |
$493.24 |
$32.95 |
+7.2% |
| Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? |
Yes |
700 |
0.695 |
$486.43 |
$-137.35 |
-22.0% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
15,200 |
0.029 |
$448.40 |
$290.90 |
+184.7% |
| Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? |
No |
650 |
0.680 |
$442.00 |
$21.56 |
+5.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
550 |
0.795 |
$437.25 |
$157.41 |
+56.3% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
8,256 |
0.052 |
$433.45 |
$92.27 |
+27.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
500 |
0.865 |
$432.50 |
$77.50 |
+21.8% |
| Will Todd Blanche be the next Attorney General? |
Yes |
420 |
0.962 |
$403.83 |
$21.67 |
+5.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.395 |
$395.00 |
$-15.00 |
-3.7% |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
61,450 |
0.005 |
$337.98 |
$-163.15 |
-32.6% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
560 |
0.600 |
$336.07 |
$-151.63 |
-31.1% |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
No |
340 |
0.984 |
$334.39 |
$8.30 |
+2.5% |
| Will Trump say "Middle East" in August? |
Yes |
291 |
0.997 |
$290.47 |
$1.68 |
+0.6% |