| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
7,270 |
0.835 |
$6,070.45 |
$-36.00 |
-0.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
2,800 |
0.695 |
$1,945.71 |
$-144.27 |
-6.9% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.745 |
$1,490.00 |
$1,013.23 |
+212.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.865 |
$1,297.50 |
$7.50 |
+0.6% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
1,610 |
0.735 |
$1,183.44 |
$449.87 |
+61.3% |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
772 |
0.997 |
$769.47 |
$29.15 |
+3.9% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
4,866 |
0.143 |
$698.27 |
$277.65 |
+66.0% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
Yes |
775 |
0.820 |
$635.23 |
$345.77 |
+119.5% |
| Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? |
Yes |
900 |
0.675 |
$607.50 |
$-194.50 |
-24.3% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? |
No |
820 |
0.725 |
$594.59 |
$28.51 |
+5.0% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
1,486 |
0.375 |
$557.22 |
$-20.89 |
-3.6% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
523 |
0.994 |
$519.46 |
$41.11 |
+8.6% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
500 |
0.987 |
$493.24 |
$32.95 |
+7.2% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
15,200 |
0.029 |
$448.40 |
$290.90 |
+184.7% |
| Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? |
No |
650 |
0.680 |
$442.00 |
$21.56 |
+5.1% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
8,256 |
0.052 |
$433.45 |
$92.27 |
+27.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
550 |
0.785 |
$431.75 |
$151.91 |
+54.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
500 |
0.855 |
$427.50 |
$72.50 |
+20.4% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.405 |
$405.00 |
$-5.00 |
-1.2% |
| Will Todd Blanche be the next Attorney General? |
Yes |
420 |
0.958 |
$402.15 |
$19.99 |
+5.2% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
560 |
0.625 |
$350.07 |
$-137.62 |
-28.2% |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
61,450 |
0.005 |
$337.98 |
$-163.15 |
-32.6% |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
No |
340 |
0.983 |
$334.22 |
$8.13 |
+2.5% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
435 |
0.705 |
$306.72 |
$57.60 |
+23.1% |
| Will Trump say "Middle East" in August? |
Yes |
291 |
0.997 |
$290.47 |
$1.68 |
+0.6% |