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Trader

0x2277c18fb73d4cfbd61384be80ef9339a9496604
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$4
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
81%
13W / 3L
Win Return (30d)
81%
13W / 3L
Trades (30d)
16
across 15 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.23
avg win $6 · loss $39
Profit Factor
0.96
$75 won / $79 lost
Reward / Risk
0.15
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $620,433 · all-time $16,679,531

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 96.7% 17,181W/594L 5038 $3,691,835
₿ Crypto 99.9% 887W/1L 395 $185,216
🎬 Culture 100.0% 4W/0L 4 $64

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

42 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 510 1.000 $510.05 $5.10 +1.0%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? No 249 0.954 $237.41 $35.73 +17.7%
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? No 154 0.780 $119.76 $-15.35 -11.4%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Yes 139 0.355 $49.32 $-36.82 -42.7%
Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election? Yes 52 0.860 $44.51 $1.03 +2.4%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-31 House seat? Yes 290 0.135 $39.17 $-1.45 -3.6%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 109 0.255 $27.91 $-22.44 -44.6%
Will G2 Esports Win an International Event in 2026? Yes 120 0.200 $24.00 $-73.20 -75.3%
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No 32 0.720 $23.10 $-2.57 -10.0%
Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat? Yes 24 0.942 $22.60 $-0.13 -0.6%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? Yes 177 0.125 $22.10 $-99.88 -81.9%
Will the Republican Party win the IL-17 House seat? No 24 0.918 $22.04 $1.38 +6.7%
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? Yes 36 0.534 $19.05 $0.86 +4.7%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No 18 0.925 $16.95 $1.19 +7.6%
Will Florida Panthers be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion? No 20 0.785 $15.74 $-0.30 -1.9%
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? Yes 70 0.190 $13.27 $-6.29 -32.1%
Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2 Yes 34 0.350 $11.84 $-1.02 -7.9%
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes 26 0.395 $10.27 $-7.41 -41.9%
NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? No 10 0.935 $9.03 $1.21 +15.4%
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes 41 0.205 $8.40 $0.61 +7.9%
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? No 148 0.055 $8.16 $-21.52 -72.5%
Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes 32 0.210 $6.72 $1.60 +31.2%
Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31? Yes 15 0.355 $5.36 $-3.85 -41.8%
Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes 28 0.185 $5.23 $-0.14 -2.6%
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? No 8 0.645 $5.16 $0.44 +9.3%