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Trader

0x2277c18fb73d4cfbd61384be80ef9339a9496604
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$3,169
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$176
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
99%
4,789W / 44L · 72 open
Win Return (30d)
99%
4,789W / 46L · 70 open
Trades (30d)
4,905
across 2,312 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$1.41
avg win $3 · loss $355
Profit Factor
0.66
$6,048 won / $9,217 lost
Reward / Risk
0.01
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$35
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $568,661 · all-time $16,627,759

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 96.6% 16,905W/594L 4967 $3,634,968
₿ Crypto 99.9% 851W/1L 378 $183,933
🎬 Culture 100.0% 4W/0L 4 $534

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

43 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? No 249 0.950 $236.42 $34.73 +17.2%
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? No 154 0.785 $120.53 $-14.59 -10.8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 64 1.000 $63.86 $0.64 +1.0%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Yes 139 0.355 $49.32 $-36.82 -42.7%
Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election? Yes 52 0.860 $44.48 $1.01 +2.3%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-31 House seat? Yes 290 0.145 $42.07 $1.45 +3.6%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 109 0.255 $27.91 $-22.44 -44.6%
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No 32 0.725 $23.27 $-2.41 -9.4%
Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat? Yes 24 0.942 $22.60 $-0.13 -0.6%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? Yes 177 0.125 $22.10 $-99.88 -81.9%
Will the Republican Party win the IL-17 House seat? No 24 0.918 $22.04 $1.38 +6.7%
Will G2 Esports Win an International Event in 2026? Yes 120 0.175 $21.00 $-76.20 -78.4%
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? Yes 36 0.533 $19.01 $0.82 +4.5%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No 18 0.925 $16.95 $1.19 +7.6%
Will Florida Panthers be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion? No 20 0.785 $15.74 $-0.30 -1.9%
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? Yes 70 0.190 $13.27 $-6.29 -32.1%
Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2 Yes 34 0.350 $11.84 $-1.02 -7.9%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? No 29 0.360 $10.51 $-0.58 -5.3%
NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? No 10 0.925 $8.94 $1.11 +14.2%
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes 41 0.210 $8.61 $0.82 +10.5%
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes 26 0.325 $8.45 $-9.23 -52.2%
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? No 148 0.055 $8.16 $-21.52 -72.5%
Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes 32 0.210 $6.72 $1.60 +31.2%
Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes 28 0.185 $5.23 $-0.14 -2.6%
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? No 8 0.645 $5.16 $0.44 +9.3%