midnightoctopus
0x226ba49a8f81306c48d960f2d5e6cff567a27343
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$67
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$63
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
29W / 0L · 33 open
Win Return (30d)
48%
29W / 31L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
62
across 6 markets · ~10 per market
EV / position
+$33.53
avg win $34
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,804 · all-time $144,052
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
300 |
0.850 |
$254.96 |
$18.00 |
+7.6% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.355 |
$71.00 |
$16.43 |
+30.1% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? |
Yes |
111 |
0.215 |
$23.79 |
$-35.49 |
-59.9% |