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Trader leaderboard/midnightoctopus

midnightoctopus

0x226ba49a8f81306c48d960f2d5e6cff567a27343
PnL (30d)
+$92
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$74
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
84%
49W / 9L · 108 open
Win Return (30d)
50%
74W / 74L · 18 open
Trades (30d)
166
across 21 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
+$8.38
avg win $38 · loss $28
Profit Factor
1.66
$231 won / $139 lost
Reward / Risk
1.39
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,804 · all-time $144,052

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 84.5% 49W/9L 21 $19,276
💵 Economy 100.0% 11W/0L 4 $2,636
🏛 Politics 100.0% 11W/0L 3 $2,575
🤖 Tech 2 $951

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? Yes 300 0.840 $251.96 $15.00 +6.3%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Yes 200 0.355 $71.00 $16.43 +30.1%
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? Yes 111 0.220 $24.34 $-34.94 -58.9%