midnightoctopus
0x226ba49a8f81306c48d960f2d5e6cff567a27343
PnL (30d)
+$92
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$74
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
84%
49W / 9L · 108 open
Win Return (30d)
50%
74W / 74L · 18 open
Trades (30d)
166
across 21 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
+$8.38
avg win $38 · loss $28
Profit Factor
1.66
$231 won / $139 lost
Reward / Risk
1.39
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,804 · all-time $144,052
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
300 |
0.840 |
$251.96 |
$15.00 |
+6.3% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.355 |
$71.00 |
$16.43 |
+30.1% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? |
Yes |
111 |
0.220 |
$24.34 |
$-34.94 |
-58.9% |