0x225b7c9Aaf6108deD29b9fdA9939aA671Ef6422A-1756591558414
0x225b7c9aaf6108ded29b9fda9939aa671ef6422a
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$500
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$63
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-31.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 23L · 8 open
Win Return (30d)
23%
7W / 24L
Trades (30d)
31
across 5 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$166.50
· loss $167
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $500 lost
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$403
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $10,431 · all-time $738,841
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k? |
Yes |
2,853 |
0.685 |
$1,954.46 |
$1,345.09 |
+220.7% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
3,333 |
0.356 |
$1,188.09 |
$1,040.88 |
+707.1% |
| Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? |
Yes |
1,109 |
0.041 |
$44.91 |
$3.70 |
+9.0% |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
2,222 |
0.007 |
$16.66 |
$-3.12 |
-15.8% |
| Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k? |
No |
23 |
0.695 |
$15.98 |
$5.86 |
+57.9% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
2,382 |
0.004 |
$8.34 |
$-209.57 |
-96.2% |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.004 |
$3.50 |
$-26.46 |
-88.3% |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 15? |
No |
39 |
0.065 |
$2.51 |
$-3.10 |
-55.2% |
| Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.002 |
$2.00 |
$-63.00 |
-96.9% |
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.001 |
$0.25 |
$-44.75 |
-99.4% |