PnL (30d)

−$1,665

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1,249

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-44.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

5%

2W / 37L · 22 open

Win Return (30d)

34%

21W / 40L

Trades (30d)

61

across 17 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$151.38

avg win $208 · loss $187

Profit Factor

0.11

$208 won / $1,873 lost

Reward / Risk

1.11

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$404

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	5.1% 2W/37L	17	$10,834
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/6L	3	$143
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/13L	3	$585
💵 Economy	—	1	$20
🤖 Tech	—	1	$20

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k?	Yes	2,853	0.641	$1,828.91	$1,219.55	+200.1%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	3,333	0.356	$1,188.09	$1,040.88	+707.1%
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	1,109	0.041	$44.91	$3.70	+9.0%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	2,222	0.007	$16.66	$-3.12	-15.8%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k?	No	23	0.690	$15.86	$5.75	+56.8%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	2,382	0.004	$8.34	$-209.57	-96.2%
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 15?	No	39	0.110	$4.25	$-1.36	-24.2%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.004	$3.50	$-26.46	-88.3%
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.003	$2.50	$-62.50	-96.2%
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	500	0.001	$0.25	$-44.75	-99.4%