PnL (30d)

−$17

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-30.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

9%

18W / 185L · 13 open

Win Return (30d)

8%

18W / 198L

Trades (30d)

216

across 48 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$0.38

avg win $3 · loss $1

Profit Factor

0.48

$16 won / $33 lost

Reward / Risk

3.90

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	9.5% 44W/419L	153	$281
₿ Crypto	18.8% 15W/65L	9	$35
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/3L	1	$1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 8?	No	250	0.006	$1.62	$0.62	+62.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7?	No	100	0.008	$0.80	$-0.20	-20.0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6?	No	30	0.026	$0.79	$-0.10	-11.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6?	No	100	0.006	$0.65	$-0.35	-35.0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5?	No	1,122	0.001	$0.56	$-1.26	-69.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 6?	No	348	0.002	$0.52	$-0.17	-25.0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5?	No	129	0.004	$0.51	$-2.49	-82.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 3-9?	Yes	6	0.040	$0.24	$0.18	+300.0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 11?	No	6	0.017	$0.09	$0.04	+69.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 11?	No	1	0.040	$0.04	$0.03	+298.8%