PnL (30d)

−$91

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-47.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

10%

44W / 419L · 85 open

Win Return (30d)

11%

54W / 442L · 52 open

Trades (30d)

548

across 153 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$0.66

avg win $2 · loss $1

Profit Factor

0.24

$29 won / $120 lost

Reward / Risk

2.34

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$30

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	9.5% 44W/419L	153	$281
₿ Crypto	12.6% 11W/76L	11	$42
💵 Economy	20.0% 1W/4L	2	$3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5?	No	129	0.009	$1.22	$-1.78	-59.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6?	No	30	0.035	$1.03	$0.13	+15.0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7?	No	100	0.009	$0.90	$-0.10	-10.0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6?	No	100	0.009	$0.90	$-0.10	-10.0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 8?	No	250	0.004	$0.88	$-0.12	-12.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5?	No	1,122	0.001	$0.56	$-1.26	-69.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 6?	No	348	0.002	$0.52	$-0.17	-25.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 3-9?	Yes	6	0.050	$0.30	$0.24	+400.0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 11?	No	6	0.018	$0.10	$0.05	+84.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 11?	No	1	0.055	$0.06	$0.05	+448.7%