bigshort
0x21d5d6326f480863e1d00c5d52bba19d9cec9925
Scoped to Science — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$54
Science · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
20W / 0L · 13 open
Win Return (30d)
100%
33W / 0L
Trades (30d)
33
across 4 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
+$17.90
avg win $18
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,636 · all-time $1,093,192
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
12,000 |
0.790 |
$9,486.00 |
$3,486.00 |
+58.1% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? |
No |
3,992 |
0.915 |
$3,654.93 |
$276.53 |
+8.2% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
12,000 |
0.209 |
$2,514.00 |
$-3,486.00 |
-58.1% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
No |
1,523 |
0.926 |
$1,410.15 |
$132.42 |
+10.4% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? |
No |
1,370 |
0.954 |
$1,306.22 |
$-1.25 |
-0.1% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? |
Yes |
1,205 |
0.885 |
$1,066.35 |
$245.69 |
+29.9% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.915 |
$915.00 |
$50.13 |
+5.8% |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31? |
Yes |
779 |
0.889 |
$693.14 |
$52.47 |
+8.2% |
| Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? |
No |
670 |
0.940 |
$629.43 |
$9.86 |
+1.6% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? |
No |
500 |
0.893 |
$446.49 |
$116.50 |
+35.3% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
130 |
0.987 |
$128.47 |
$8.27 |
+6.9% |