PnL (30d)

+$297

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$260

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

82%

70W / 15L · 121 open

Win Return (30d)

84%

116W / 22L · 68 open

Trades (30d)

206

across 27 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

+$21.19

avg win $34 · loss $58

Profit Factor

3.56

$413 won / $116 lost

Reward / Risk

0.59

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	82.4% 70W/15L	27	$27,490
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/1L	2	$2,001
🔬 Science	—	1	$1,993
💵 Economy	—	1	$218

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	12,000	0.790	$9,486.00	$3,486.00	+58.1%
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	3,992	0.915	$3,654.93	$276.53	+8.2%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	12,000	0.209	$2,514.00	$-3,486.00	-58.1%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	1,523	0.926	$1,410.91	$133.18	+10.4%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?	No	1,370	0.952	$1,303.48	$-3.99	-0.3%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	1,205	0.885	$1,066.35	$245.69	+29.9%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	1,000	0.915	$915.00	$50.13	+5.8%
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	Yes	779	0.889	$693.14	$52.47	+8.2%
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?	No	670	0.940	$629.43	$9.86	+1.6%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	500	0.893	$446.49	$116.50	+35.3%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	130	0.987	$128.47	$8.27	+6.9%