| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
345 |
0.385 |
$132.93 |
$71.34 |
+115.8% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
59 |
0.725 |
$42.59 |
$12.70 |
+42.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
32 |
0.845 |
$27.35 |
$2.19 |
+8.7% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
46 |
0.510 |
$23.23 |
$4.77 |
+25.8% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
32 |
0.700 |
$22.67 |
$-0.15 |
-0.6% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
24 |
0.915 |
$21.75 |
$0.59 |
+2.8% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? |
Yes |
54 |
0.325 |
$17.68 |
$-0.68 |
-3.7% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
22 |
0.755 |
$16.27 |
$-0.44 |
-2.6% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
16 |
0.905 |
$14.80 |
$4.35 |
+41.7% |
| Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
13 |
0.945 |
$12.28 |
$0.19 |
+1.6% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? |
Yes |
61 |
0.190 |
$11.58 |
$0.28 |
+2.4% |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? |
Yes |
55 |
0.195 |
$10.79 |
$7.92 |
+275.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
14 |
0.695 |
$9.93 |
$3.79 |
+61.6% |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? |
No |
13 |
0.646 |
$8.70 |
$2.09 |
+31.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.962 |
$7.50 |
$1.50 |
+24.9% |
| Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.920 |
$7.34 |
$0.08 |
+1.1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? |
Yes |
25 |
0.285 |
$7.12 |
$0.87 |
+14.0% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? |
Anthropic |
8 |
0.895 |
$6.89 |
$0.89 |
+14.7% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? |
Yes |
18 |
0.360 |
$6.55 |
$0.36 |
+5.9% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
7 |
0.935 |
$6.24 |
$0.17 |
+2.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.885 |
$6.18 |
$0.17 |
+2.9% |
| Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.835 |
$5.51 |
$-0.56 |
-9.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
33 |
0.165 |
$5.50 |
$-0.50 |
-8.3% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
Yes |
55 |
0.095 |
$5.18 |
$-1.36 |
-20.8% |
| Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.953 |
$3.70 |
$0.09 |
+2.4% |