| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
345 |
0.385 |
$132.93 |
$71.34 |
+115.8% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
59 |
0.705 |
$41.42 |
$11.52 |
+38.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
32 |
0.835 |
$27.03 |
$1.86 |
+7.4% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
46 |
0.560 |
$25.50 |
$7.04 |
+38.2% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
32 |
0.700 |
$22.67 |
$-0.15 |
-0.6% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
24 |
0.915 |
$21.75 |
$0.59 |
+2.8% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? |
Yes |
54 |
0.335 |
$18.22 |
$-0.13 |
-0.7% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
16 |
0.905 |
$14.80 |
$4.35 |
+41.7% |
| Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
13 |
0.945 |
$12.28 |
$0.19 |
+1.6% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? |
Yes |
61 |
0.195 |
$11.89 |
$0.58 |
+5.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
14 |
0.695 |
$9.93 |
$3.79 |
+61.6% |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? |
No |
13 |
0.646 |
$8.70 |
$2.09 |
+31.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.959 |
$7.48 |
$1.47 |
+24.5% |
| Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.920 |
$7.34 |
$0.08 |
+1.1% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? |
Anthropic |
8 |
0.895 |
$6.89 |
$0.89 |
+14.7% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? |
Yes |
25 |
0.255 |
$6.38 |
$0.12 |
+2.0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
7 |
0.935 |
$6.24 |
$0.17 |
+2.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.885 |
$6.18 |
$0.17 |
+2.9% |
| Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.865 |
$5.71 |
$-0.36 |
-6.0% |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? |
Yes |
55 |
0.076 |
$4.23 |
$1.36 |
+47.1% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.750 |
$4.17 |
$-0.39 |
-8.5% |
| Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.953 |
$3.70 |
$0.09 |
+2.4% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 |
Yes |
38 |
0.065 |
$2.48 |
$-14.87 |
-85.7% |
| Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.880 |
$1.17 |
$-0.05 |
-4.3% |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
Yes |
6 |
0.003 |
$0.02 |
$-6.01 |
-99.7% |