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Trader leaderboard/rainbowlilies

rainbowlilies

0x21064fd320bfd5a86f8c92a94d3209edf4154dea
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$77
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$230
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
90%
69W / 8L · 22,833 open
Win Return (30d)
88%
20,022W / 2,858L · 30 open
Trades (30d)
22,910
across 194 markets · ~118 per market
EV / position
+$9.63
avg win $48 · loss $105
Profit Factor
1.37
$286 won / $209 lost
Reward / Risk
0.46
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $703,041 · all-time $65,123,245

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 57.5% 2,945W/2,173L 858 $613,086
⚽ Sports 100.0% 4W/0L 198 $35,018
🏛 Politics 87 $14,379
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/3L 13 $459
🎬 Culture 5 $64
🤖 Tech 2 $286

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 8,000 0.816 $6,524.01 $2,524.00 +63.1%
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 17,896 0.215 $3,847.70 $3,350.60 +674.0%
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 10,000 0.205 $2,050.00 $-2,949.99 -59.0%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 11,053 0.145 $1,602.65 $-2,489.86 -60.8%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 8,000 0.184 $1,476.00 $-2,524.00 -63.1%
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? No 2,006 0.725 $1,454.25 $56.06 +4.0%
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes 11,000 0.125 $1,375.00 $1,113.10 +425.0%
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 10,000 0.134 $1,335.00 $1,057.23 +380.6%
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes 8,076 0.147 $1,191.17 $734.58 +160.9%
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 13,286 0.075 $996.43 $593.83 +147.5%
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes 7,000 0.135 $945.00 $778.34 +467.0%
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 13,248 0.069 $907.47 $-1,024.54 -53.0%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No 1,212 0.702 $850.45 $9.09 +1.1%
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 10,000 0.085 $850.00 $572.23 +206.0%
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes 11,000 0.075 $825.00 $563.10 +215.0%
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 20,114 0.041 $814.62 $255.91 +45.8%
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 10,000 0.079 $785.00 $481.97 +159.1%
Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes 18,542 0.042 $769.47 $55.40 +7.8%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 18,942 0.040 $748.19 $174.21 +30.4%
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 17,500 0.043 $743.75 $213.45 +40.3%
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 19,747 0.037 $740.50 $142.14 +23.8%
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes 5,000 0.145 $725.01 $605.94 +508.9%
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes 1,357 0.515 $698.91 $642.36 +1136.0%
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 20,114 0.033 $653.71 $95.00 +17.0%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 10,000 0.065 $650.00 $346.97 +114.5%