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Trader leaderboard/rainbowlilies

rainbowlilies

0x21064fd320bfd5a86f8c92a94d3209edf4154dea
PnL (30d)
+$682
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2,547
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
58%
2,945W / 2,173L · 32,552 open
Win Return (30d)
76%
28,753W / 8,847L · 70 open
Trades (30d)
37,670
across 858 markets · ~44 per market
EV / position
+$4.70
avg win $637 · loss $3,029
Profit Factor
1.01
$76,410 won / $75,727 lost
Reward / Risk
0.21
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$62
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $690,781 · all-time $65,110,986

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 57.5% 2,945W/2,173L 858 $612,575
⚽ Sports 80.0% 4W/1L 210 $37,078
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 96 $16,252
💵 Economy 25.0% 2W/6L 21 $789
🎬 Culture 6 $67
🤖 Tech 2 $286

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 24,000 0.816 $19,572.01 $7,572.00 +63.1%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 24,000 0.184 $4,428.00 $-7,572.00 -63.1%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 2,000 0.855 $1,709.99 $30.00 +1.8%
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 7,896 0.215 $1,697.70 $1,478.37 +674.0%
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? No 2,006 0.725 $1,454.25 $56.06 +4.0%
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes 11,000 0.125 $1,375.00 $1,113.10 +425.0%
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes 8,076 0.147 $1,191.17 $734.58 +160.9%
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes 7,000 0.135 $945.00 $778.34 +467.0%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No 1,212 0.702 $850.45 $9.09 +1.1%
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes 11,000 0.075 $825.00 $563.10 +215.0%
Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes 18,542 0.042 $769.47 $55.40 +7.8%
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes 5,000 0.145 $725.01 $605.94 +508.9%
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes 1,357 0.515 $698.91 $642.36 +1136.0%
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? Yes 6,711 0.095 $637.59 $421.09 +194.5%
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes 5,001 0.115 $575.12 $456.05 +383.0%
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open? Yes 6,000 0.085 $510.00 $-129.70 -20.3%
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes 5,609 0.089 $501.99 $275.64 +121.8%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? No 7,349 0.065 $477.68 $-89.48 -15.8%
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? No 931 0.500 $465.50 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 3,053 0.145 $442.65 $350.14 +378.5%
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series? No 562 0.785 $441.31 $30.92 +7.5%
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No 500 0.875 $437.50 $-2.50 -0.6%
Will AC Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? No 500 0.875 $437.47 $2.50 +0.6%
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? No 1,000 0.435 $435.00 $-35.00 -7.4%
Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? No 500 0.865 $432.50 $2.50 +0.6%