| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? |
No |
1,183 |
0.935 |
$1,106.96 |
$71.15 |
+6.9% |
| Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
49 |
0.830 |
$40.55 |
$3.42 |
+9.2% |
| Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in August? |
No |
158 |
0.250 |
$39.56 |
$0.08 |
+0.2% |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
60 |
0.625 |
$37.60 |
$-0.50 |
-1.3% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.852 |
$17.04 |
$2.40 |
+16.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
20 |
0.835 |
$16.70 |
$-0.50 |
-2.9% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? |
No |
145 |
0.105 |
$15.22 |
$-18.57 |
-55.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.959 |
$14.38 |
$3.23 |
+28.9% |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.725 |
$10.88 |
$5.02 |
+85.9% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
10 |
0.930 |
$9.30 |
$0.10 |
+1.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
40 |
0.225 |
$9.00 |
$-5.60 |
-38.4% |
| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? |
No |
10 |
0.885 |
$8.85 |
$0.45 |
+5.4% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
No |
10 |
0.875 |
$8.75 |
$0.05 |
+0.6% |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
10 |
0.825 |
$8.25 |
$1.05 |
+14.6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.710 |
$7.10 |
$-0.90 |
-11.2% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
10 |
0.675 |
$6.75 |
$0.75 |
+12.5% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.665 |
$6.65 |
$0.65 |
+10.8% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
25 |
0.265 |
$6.62 |
$0.38 |
+6.0% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
25 |
0.225 |
$5.62 |
$0.62 |
+12.5% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.275 |
$5.50 |
$0.50 |
+10.0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.450 |
$4.50 |
$-1.50 |
-25.0% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.295 |
$2.95 |
$-0.95 |
-24.4% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.278 |
$2.77 |
$-0.72 |
-20.7% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
10 |
0.117 |
$1.17 |
$-0.23 |
-16.2% |