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Trader leaderboard/Nowayfolding

Nowayfolding

0x20b382be32a82d308fb9238f3c2a01756385d24c
PnL (30d)
+$1,592
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$12
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+27.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
68%
110W / 51L · 21 open
Win Return (30d)
66%
120W / 62L
Trades (30d)
182
across 65 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$31.22
avg win $64 · loss $35
Profit Factor
3.70
$2,181 won / $589 lost
Reward / Risk
1.85
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$24
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,326 · all-time $76,271

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 68.3% 110W/51L 65 $6,015
🏛 Politics 12.5% 1W/7L 5 $156

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

24 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? No 1,183 0.935 $1,106.96 $71.15 +6.9%
Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in August? No 158 0.250 $39.56 $0.08 +0.2%
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 60 0.625 $37.60 $-0.50 -1.3%
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 49 0.725 $35.42 $-1.71 -4.6%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 20 0.850 $16.99 $2.35 +16.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 20 0.835 $16.70 $-0.50 -2.9%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No 15 0.958 $14.36 $3.21 +28.8%
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? No 145 0.090 $13.05 $-20.75 -61.4%
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 15 0.725 $10.88 $5.02 +85.9%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No 10 0.920 $9.20 $0.00 +0.0%
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? No 10 0.885 $8.85 $0.45 +5.4%
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No 10 0.875 $8.75 $0.05 +0.6%
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No 10 0.830 $8.30 $1.10 +15.3%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? No 10 0.680 $6.80 $-1.20 -15.0%
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No 10 0.670 $6.70 $0.70 +11.7%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 10 0.665 $6.65 $0.65 +10.8%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes 25 0.265 $6.62 $0.38 +6.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? No 40 0.160 $6.40 $-8.20 -56.2%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? Yes 25 0.225 $5.62 $0.62 +12.5%
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Yes 20 0.275 $5.50 $0.50 +10.0%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 10 0.440 $4.40 $-1.60 -26.7%
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Yes 10 0.295 $2.95 $-0.95 -24.4%
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? Yes 10 0.277 $2.77 $-0.73 -21.0%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 10 0.117 $1.17 $-0.23 -16.2%