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Trader

0x1ff3d3fdef2558f3eb4aabdd7011a0245df8eb39
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$19
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
53%
24W / 21L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
46
across 16 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,843 · all-time $131,074

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 57.8% 37W/27L 51 $6,283
🏛 Politics 8 $204
⚽ Sports 2 $1,132
🌤 Weather 1 $16
🎬 Culture 1 $612

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

37 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No 916 0.970 $888.05 $39.81 +4.7%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No 1,242 0.680 $844.52 $-2.95 -0.3%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 805 0.925 $744.62 $47.03 +6.7%
Will Mohamed Salah join Al-Ittihad? No 548 0.985 $539.80 $19.71 +3.8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 814 0.510 $415.64 $-37.76 -8.3%
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No 375 0.914 $342.94 $33.21 +10.7%
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06? No 179 0.992 $177.80 $15.86 +9.8%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 300 0.460 $137.85 $26.02 +23.3%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5? No 389 0.250 $97.25 $-51.04 -34.4%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 6? No 173 0.495 $85.78 $29.56 +52.6%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5? No 160 0.490 $78.37 $14.29 +22.3%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.750 $75.00 $-1.00 -1.3%
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No 80 0.915 $73.20 $3.00 +4.3%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? No 102 0.710 $72.71 $2.34 +3.3%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 80 0.835 $66.80 $9.73 +17.1%
Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? No 61 0.982 $59.87 $1.31 +2.2%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No 60 0.894 $53.64 $5.73 +12.0%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 150 0.325 $48.75 $-1.75 -3.5%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes 100 0.405 $40.50 $7.00 +20.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? No 110 0.295 $32.33 $-3.32 -9.3%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No 31 0.875 $27.12 $2.87 +11.8%
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes 70 0.350 $24.50 $-1.80 -6.8%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? No 50 0.395 $19.75 $2.75 +16.2%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 6? No 60 0.320 $19.20 $-6.20 -24.4%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 50 0.298 $14.93 $-0.02 -0.2%