Log in
Trader leaderboard/Trader

Trader

0x1ff3d3fdef2558f3eb4aabdd7011a0245df8eb39
PnL (30d)
−$204
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$113
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
58%
37W / 27L · 155 open
Win Return (30d)
39%
84W / 134L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
219
across 51 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$10.76
avg win $61 · loss $110
Profit Factor
0.77
$674 won / $878 lost
Reward / Risk
0.56
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$25
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,513 · all-time $130,744

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 57.8% 37W/27L 51 $6,283
🏛 Politics 8 $204
⚽ Sports 2 $1,132
🌤 Weather 1 $16
🎬 Culture 1 $612

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

36 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No 916 0.970 $888.05 $39.81 +4.7%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No 1,242 0.670 $832.10 $-15.37 -1.8%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 805 0.925 $744.62 $47.03 +6.7%
Will Mohamed Salah join Al-Ittihad? No 548 0.986 $540.35 $20.26 +3.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 814 0.461 $375.01 $-78.39 -17.3%
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No 375 0.914 $342.94 $33.21 +10.7%
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06? No 179 0.992 $177.80 $15.86 +9.8%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 300 0.460 $137.85 $26.02 +23.3%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 150 0.845 $126.75 $19.75 +18.5%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5? No 389 0.300 $116.70 $-31.59 -21.3%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 6? No 173 0.485 $84.05 $27.83 +49.5%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.755 $75.50 $-0.50 -0.7%
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No 80 0.915 $73.20 $3.00 +4.3%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? No 102 0.680 $69.64 $-0.73 -1.0%
Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? No 61 0.964 $58.80 $0.24 +0.4%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5? No 160 0.365 $58.37 $-5.70 -8.9%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No 60 0.894 $53.64 $5.73 +12.0%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes 100 0.405 $40.50 $7.00 +20.9%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 100 0.335 $33.50 $-0.50 -1.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? No 110 0.255 $27.95 $-7.70 -21.6%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No 31 0.875 $27.12 $2.87 +11.8%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 6? No 60 0.415 $24.90 $-0.50 -2.0%
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes 50 0.350 $17.50 $-2.40 -12.1%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? No 50 0.315 $15.75 $-1.25 -7.4%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 50 0.298 $14.93 $-0.02 -0.2%