Log in
Trader leaderboard/.ethguy

.ethguy

0x1e55408f217f58facdf1d663c74cfa7f55e9e3e2
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1,544
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$168
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+11.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
88%
21W / 3L · 12 open
Win Return (30d)
89%
25W / 3L · 8 open
Trades (30d)
36
across 7 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$308.90
avg win $436 · loss $199
Profit Factor
8.77
$1,743 won / $199 lost
Reward / Risk
2.19
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $9,705 · all-time $2,749,058

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 74.5% 146W/50L 33 $83,311
🏛 Politics 100.0% 16W/0L 4 $7,270
💵 Economy 100.0% 8W/0L 4 $3,998
⚽ Sports 1 $296
🎬 Culture 100.0% 8W/0L 1 $679

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 3,001 0.949 $2,846.46 $175.56 +6.6%
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No 552 0.965 $532.59 $65.13 +13.9%
Will Pauline Hanson wear a burqa again in 2026? No 100 0.820 $82.00 $3.80 +4.9%
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 1,318 0.055 $72.49 $-260.23 -78.2%
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? No 59 0.805 $47.20 $2.70 +6.1%
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? No 40 0.850 $33.74 $0.65 +2.0%