.ethguy
0x1e55408f217f58facdf1d663c74cfa7f55e9e3e2
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1,544
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$168
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+11.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
88%
21W / 3L · 12 open
Win Return (30d)
89%
25W / 3L · 8 open
Trades (30d)
36
across 7 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$308.90
avg win $436 · loss $199
Profit Factor
8.77
$1,743 won / $199 lost
Reward / Risk
2.19
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $9,705 · all-time $2,749,058
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
3,001 |
0.949 |
$2,846.46 |
$175.56 |
+6.6% |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year? |
No |
552 |
0.965 |
$532.59 |
$65.13 |
+13.9% |
| Will Pauline Hanson wear a burqa again in 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.820 |
$82.00 |
$3.80 |
+4.9% |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
1,318 |
0.055 |
$72.49 |
$-260.23 |
-78.2% |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? |
No |
59 |
0.805 |
$47.20 |
$2.70 |
+6.1% |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? |
No |
40 |
0.850 |
$33.74 |
$0.65 |
+2.0% |