.ethguy
0x1e55408f217f58facdf1d663c74cfa7f55e9e3e2
PnL (30d)
+$4,550
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$185
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+7.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
74%
146W / 50L · 50 open
Win Return (30d)
73%
173W / 64L · 9 open
Trades (30d)
246
across 33 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
+$216.69
avg win $361 · loss $143
Profit Factor
6.30
$5,409 won / $859 lost
Reward / Risk
2.52
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $9,705 · all-time $2,749,058
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
3,001 |
0.954 |
$2,862.96 |
$192.06 |
+7.2% |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year? |
No |
552 |
0.971 |
$535.63 |
$68.17 |
+14.6% |
| Will Pauline Hanson wear a burqa again in 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.820 |
$82.00 |
$3.80 |
+4.9% |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
1,318 |
0.055 |
$72.49 |
$-260.23 |
-78.2% |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? |
No |
59 |
0.805 |
$47.20 |
$2.70 |
+6.1% |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? |
No |
40 |
0.835 |
$33.14 |
$0.05 |
+0.2% |