| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
4,501 |
0.825 |
$3,713.38 |
$-258.78 |
-6.5% |
| Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? |
Yes |
3,845 |
0.959 |
$3,685.73 |
$253.84 |
+7.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
3,500 |
0.845 |
$2,957.89 |
$275.13 |
+10.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
2,099 |
0.974 |
$2,043.38 |
$11.83 |
+0.6% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? |
No |
1,500 |
0.989 |
$1,482.75 |
$57.75 |
+4.1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
No |
1,190 |
0.988 |
$1,175.25 |
$53.65 |
+4.8% |
| Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan? |
No |
1,452 |
0.634 |
$921.33 |
$-129.81 |
-12.3% |
| Will Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund? |
Yes |
918 |
0.974 |
$893.91 |
$32.38 |
+3.8% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
1,300 |
0.660 |
$857.99 |
$-14.45 |
-1.7% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
No |
1,000 |
0.815 |
$814.90 |
$30.71 |
+3.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
2,047 |
0.385 |
$788.10 |
$-151.57 |
-16.1% |
| NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? |
No |
800 |
0.967 |
$773.60 |
$22.40 |
+3.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
1,200 |
0.601 |
$721.36 |
$-282.80 |
-28.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
No |
800 |
0.875 |
$699.99 |
$-4.00 |
-0.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.655 |
$654.99 |
$-25.00 |
-3.7% |
| Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid? |
Yes |
659 |
0.884 |
$583.05 |
$45.43 |
+8.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
508 |
0.999 |
$507.74 |
$103.82 |
+25.7% |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
No |
500 |
0.977 |
$488.25 |
$48.25 |
+11.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
485 |
0.905 |
$439.02 |
$142.41 |
+48.0% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
1,600 |
0.261 |
$416.80 |
$-134.71 |
-24.4% |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
No |
882 |
0.430 |
$379.27 |
$293.74 |
+343.4% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
800 |
0.460 |
$367.60 |
$66.60 |
+22.1% |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.915 |
$366.00 |
$10.00 |
+2.8% |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? |
Yes |
400 |
0.845 |
$338.00 |
$54.00 |
+19.0% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? |
No |
345 |
0.975 |
$336.50 |
$13.26 |
+4.1% |