| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
4,501 |
0.835 |
$3,758.39 |
$-213.76 |
-5.4% |
| Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? |
Yes |
3,733 |
0.961 |
$3,585.85 |
$262.37 |
+7.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
3,500 |
0.835 |
$2,922.89 |
$240.12 |
+9.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
2,099 |
0.969 |
$2,032.88 |
$1.34 |
+0.1% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? |
No |
1,500 |
0.988 |
$1,482.00 |
$57.00 |
+4.0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
No |
1,190 |
0.989 |
$1,176.44 |
$54.84 |
+4.9% |
| Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan? |
No |
1,452 |
0.680 |
$987.56 |
$-63.59 |
-6.0% |
| Will Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund? |
Yes |
918 |
0.974 |
$893.91 |
$32.38 |
+3.8% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
1,300 |
0.680 |
$883.99 |
$11.55 |
+1.3% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
No |
1,000 |
0.805 |
$805.00 |
$20.81 |
+2.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
2,047 |
0.385 |
$788.10 |
$-151.57 |
-16.1% |
| NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? |
No |
800 |
0.960 |
$767.60 |
$16.40 |
+2.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
No |
800 |
0.865 |
$691.99 |
$-12.00 |
-1.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
1,200 |
0.535 |
$642.14 |
$-362.02 |
-36.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.635 |
$634.99 |
$-45.00 |
-6.6% |
| Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid? |
Yes |
659 |
0.880 |
$580.08 |
$42.46 |
+7.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
508 |
0.999 |
$507.49 |
$103.57 |
+25.6% |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
No |
500 |
0.977 |
$488.50 |
$48.50 |
+11.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
485 |
0.900 |
$436.59 |
$139.99 |
+47.2% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
1,600 |
0.261 |
$416.80 |
$-134.71 |
-24.4% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
800 |
0.460 |
$367.60 |
$66.60 |
+22.1% |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.915 |
$366.00 |
$10.00 |
+2.8% |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? |
Yes |
400 |
0.845 |
$338.00 |
$54.00 |
+19.0% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? |
No |
345 |
0.976 |
$337.01 |
$13.78 |
+4.3% |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? |
Yes |
1,144 |
0.285 |
$325.91 |
$-82.39 |
-20.2% |