PnL (30d)

−$12

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

42%

13W / 18L · 256 open

Win Return (30d)

49%

136W / 143L · 8 open

Trades (30d)

287

across 54 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$3.91

avg win $30 · loss $21

Profit Factor

0.72

$30 won / $42 lost

Reward / Risk

1.44

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$42

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	67.8% 752W/357L	729	$228,491
🏛 Politics	85.7% 102W/17L	285	$98,917
⚽ Sports	—	117	$10,433
₿ Crypto	64.8% 94W/51L	63	$23,977
💵 Economy	41.9% 13W/18L	54	$43,515
🎬 Culture	98.4% 125W/2L	39	$23,371
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/9L	19	$3,077
🔬 Science	—	13	$414
🌤 Weather	—	5	$166

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	290	0.976	$282.76	$-0.91	-0.3%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	197	0.996	$196.15	$3.25	+1.7%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	249	0.786	$195.67	$0.04	+0.0%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	209	0.905	$189.05	$-0.22	-0.1%
Will Esteban Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	170	0.998	$169.56	$-0.09	-0.1%
Will Facundo Manes win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	170	0.998	$169.56	$-0.09	-0.1%
Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	170	0.996	$169.30	$-0.05	-0.0%
Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	170	0.995	$169.05	$-0.21	-0.1%
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	170	0.993	$168.79	$-0.42	-0.2%
Will Juan Schiaretti win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	150	0.997	$149.29	$-0.01	-0.0%
Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	130	0.993	$129.07	$0.36	+0.3%
Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?	No	130	0.979	$127.20	$-0.58	-0.5%
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	130	0.971	$126.21	$1.91	+1.5%
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	272	0.435	$118.11	$-14.74	-11.1%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	120	0.968	$116.10	$0.30	+0.3%
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	No	130	0.835	$108.55	$6.43	+6.3%
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in July?	No	100	0.996	$99.97	$0.04	+0.0%
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?	No	100	0.985	$98.45	$0.35	+0.4%
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	152	0.635	$96.35	$-4.68	-4.6%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	271	0.355	$96.27	$1.35	+1.4%
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	170	0.555	$94.34	$-6.21	-6.2%
Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?	No	83	0.959	$79.94	$-0.74	-0.9%
Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	80	0.986	$78.86	$-0.02	-0.0%
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	No	130	0.545	$70.85	$-3.25	-4.4%
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in July?	No	70	0.999	$69.76	$1.96	+2.9%