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Trader leaderboard/Hourglass

Hourglass

0x1d8c256b15d3cd1f5db221e70c77f552eb8d757a
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$130
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
62%
138W / 83L · 18 open
Win Return (30d)
59%
140W / 96L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
239
across 93 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$1.58
avg win $14 · loss $17
Profit Factor
1.24
$675 won / $545 lost
Reward / Risk
0.83
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$273
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $129,706 · all-time $22,164,513

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 67.8% 752W/357L 729 $228,491
🏛 Politics 85.7% 102W/17L 285 $98,917
⚽ Sports 117 $10,433
₿ Crypto 64.8% 94W/51L 63 $23,977
💵 Economy 41.9% 13W/18L 54 $43,515
🎬 Culture 98.4% 125W/2L 39 $23,371
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/9L 19 $3,077
🔬 Science 13 $414
🌤 Weather 5 $166

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 290 0.975 $282.61 $-1.05 -0.4%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 249 0.786 $195.67 $0.04 +0.0%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 197 0.993 $195.56 $2.66 +1.4%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 209 0.905 $188.95 $-0.32 -0.2%
Will Esteban Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No 170 0.998 $169.56 $-0.09 -0.1%
Will Facundo Manes win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No 170 0.998 $169.56 $-0.09 -0.1%
Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No 170 0.996 $169.30 $-0.05 -0.0%
Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No 170 0.995 $169.05 $-0.21 -0.1%
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No 170 0.993 $168.79 $-0.42 -0.2%
Will Juan Schiaretti win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No 150 0.997 $149.29 $-0.01 -0.0%
Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No 130 0.993 $129.07 $0.36 +0.3%
Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July? No 130 0.976 $126.81 $-0.97 -0.8%
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No 130 0.970 $126.02 $1.71 +1.4%
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No 272 0.435 $118.11 $-14.74 -11.1%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 120 0.967 $116.04 $0.24 +0.2%
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July? No 130 0.835 $108.55 $6.43 +6.3%
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in July? No 100 0.997 $100.07 $0.14 +0.1%
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July? No 100 0.982 $98.20 $0.10 +0.1%
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No 152 0.640 $97.11 $-3.92 -3.9%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 271 0.355 $96.27 $1.35 +1.4%
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No 170 0.555 $94.34 $-6.21 -6.2%
Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July? No 83 0.956 $79.73 $-0.95 -1.2%
Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No 80 0.986 $78.82 $-0.06 -0.1%
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? No 130 0.540 $70.20 $-3.90 -5.3%
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in July? No 70 0.998 $69.72 $1.92 +2.8%