RiseFromTheAshes
0x1d5ce0a272ba0d3340fe1daba63478a06c1d55df
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$9
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-6.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
20%
1W / 4L
Win Return (30d)
20%
1W / 4L
Trades (30d)
5
across 3 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$3.08
avg win $51 · loss $30
Profit Factor
0.85
$51 won / $60 lost
Reward / Risk
1.69
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$50
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $13,033 · all-time $1,556,393
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5,067 |
0.075 |
$380.06 |
$-90.05 |
-19.2% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,918 |
0.085 |
$248.02 |
$-77.70 |
-23.9% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
346 |
0.710 |
$245.39 |
$30.50 |
+14.2% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? |
Yes |
1,510 |
0.145 |
$218.94 |
$-26.20 |
-10.7% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? |
Yes |
250 |
0.365 |
$91.25 |
$-8.75 |
-8.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
107 |
0.519 |
$55.47 |
$5.47 |
+10.9% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August? |
Yes |
77 |
0.660 |
$50.82 |
$0.82 |
+1.6% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
1,259 |
0.025 |
$31.99 |
$1.76 |
+5.8% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,111 |
0.011 |
$12.78 |
$2.78 |
+27.8% |