PnL (30d)

+$79

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$87

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+5.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

45%

5W / 6L · 19 open

Win Return (30d)

37%

11W / 19L

Trades (30d)

30

across 14 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$15.89

avg win $71 · loss $21

Profit Factor

2.28

$141 won / $62 lost

Reward / Risk

3.42

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$50

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	45.5% 5W/6L	14	$2,238
🏛 Politics	—	3	$1,054
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$50
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$50

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	5,067	0.075	$380.06	$-90.05	-19.2%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	2,918	0.085	$248.02	$-77.70	-23.9%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	346	0.695	$240.17	$25.28	+11.8%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Yes	1,510	0.145	$218.94	$-26.20	-10.7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?	Yes	250	0.365	$91.25	$-8.75	-8.8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	107	0.540	$57.66	$7.66	+15.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?	Yes	77	0.655	$50.44	$0.43	+0.9%
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	Yes	1,259	0.025	$31.99	$1.76	+5.8%
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?	Yes	1,111	0.011	$12.78	$2.78	+27.8%