PnL (30d)

+$215

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$228

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+6.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

58%

63W / 46L · 10 open

Win Return (30d)

61%

72W / 47L

Trades (30d)

119

across 45 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$5.51

avg win $39 · loss $48

Profit Factor

1.30

$930 won / $715 lost

Reward / Risk

0.81

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$97

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	58.4% 174W/124L	116	$12,625
🎬 Culture	66.7% 18W/9L	19	$1,860
🏛 Politics	66.7% 14W/7L	14	$1,520
🤖 Tech	66.7% 4W/2L	5	$340

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?	No	226	0.555	$125.34	$55.94	+80.6%
Will Trump say "Lincoln Memorial" in August?	Yes	188	0.600	$112.50	$69.38	+160.9%
Will Trump say "No No No" this week?	Yes	61	0.525	$32.02	$11.89	+59.1%
Will Trump say "Gaza" in August?	No	23	0.185	$4.23	$-2.17	-33.9%