b14k
0x1d1aa3439835cc8dbb5e55d615bee3f39b0d324e
PnL (30d)
+$570
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$248
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+6.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
58%
174W / 124L · 21 open
Win Return (30d)
60%
190W / 127L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
319
across 116 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$5.33
avg win $26 · loss $35
Profit Factor
1.45
$1,846 won / $1,276 lost
Reward / Risk
0.73
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$143
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $836 · all-time $398,792
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing? |
No |
251 |
0.590 |
$147.99 |
$70.92 |
+92.0% |
| Will Trump say "Lincoln Memorial" in August? |
Yes |
188 |
0.650 |
$121.88 |
$78.75 |
+182.6% |
| Will Trump say "No No No" this week? |
Yes |
61 |
0.550 |
$33.54 |
$13.42 |
+66.7% |
| Will Trump say "Gaza" in August? |
No |
23 |
0.195 |
$4.46 |
$-1.94 |
-30.4% |