srk-14-new
0x1cfa90c9a08f0dc1b2eb14d8470bbc74fc7af0c6
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$0
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
63%
151W / 87L · 24 open
Win Return (30d)
64%
167W / 95L
Trades (30d)
262
across 9 markets · ~29 per market
EV / position
−$0.01
avg win $4 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.99
$8 won / $8 lost
Reward / Risk
1.49
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,200 · all-time $50,136
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
32 |
0.305 |
$9.72 |
$-4.78 |
-33.0% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
13 |
0.540 |
$7.11 |
$-0.14 |
-1.9% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
35 |
0.189 |
$6.60 |
$-0.65 |
-8.9% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
12 |
0.485 |
$5.66 |
$-1.59 |
-21.9% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
No |
38 |
0.130 |
$4.96 |
$-2.29 |
-31.6% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.147 |
$1.47 |
$-0.84 |
-36.3% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
Yes |
24 |
0.060 |
$1.45 |
$-5.80 |
-80.0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
Yes |
12 |
0.060 |
$0.75 |
$-2.75 |
-78.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
No |
12 |
0.055 |
$0.64 |
$-3.68 |
-85.1% |