PnL (30d)

+$23

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$10

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

74%

812W / 290L · 543 open

Win Return (30d)

75%

1,231W / 414L

Trades (30d)

1,645

across 70 markets · ~24 per market

EV / position

+$0.62

avg win $2 · loss $5

Profit Factor

1.54

$65 won / $42 lost

Reward / Risk

0.50

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$16

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	73.7% 812W/290L	70	$8,948
🏛 Politics	100.0% 54W/0L	7	$320
💵 Economy	100.0% 9W/0L	3	$53
₿ Crypto	—	2	$20
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/10L	1	$51
🤖 Tech	—	1	$22

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	No	32	0.320	$10.20	$-4.30	-29.7%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	13	0.540	$7.11	$-0.14	-1.9%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	35	0.189	$6.60	$-0.65	-8.9%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	12	0.485	$5.66	$-1.59	-21.9%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	No	38	0.145	$5.53	$-1.72	-23.7%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	10	0.150	$1.50	$-0.81	-35.0%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?	Yes	24	0.055	$1.33	$-5.92	-81.7%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?	Yes	12	0.070	$0.87	$-2.62	-75.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	No	12	0.060	$0.70	$-3.63	-83.8%