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Trader leaderboard/0x1c3DC2273D64eBE2A99fA39dD8883130c8792FF5-1767525426111

0x1c3DC2273D64eBE2A99fA39dD8883130c8792FF5-1767525426111

0x1c3dc2273d64ebe2a99fa39dd8883130c8792ff5
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$39
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$287
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
33%
10W / 20L · 39 open
Win Return (30d)
39%
27W / 42L
Trades (30d)
69
across 14 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$7.84
avg win $40 · loss $14
Profit Factor
1.95
$81 won / $41 lost
Reward / Risk
2.92
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,917 · all-time $287,509

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 38.0% 68W/111L 101 $16,109
⚽ Sports 33.3% 2W/4L 8 $1,158
🏛 Politics 90.9% 10W/1L 6 $1,649
💵 Economy 100.0% 2W/0L 2 $154
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/1L 2 $640

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

16 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? No 1,284 0.969 $1,243.82 $175.71 +16.5%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No 1,000 0.680 $679.99 $44.00 +6.9%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No 458 0.920 $421.06 $100.29 +31.3%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 200 0.465 $93.00 $-11.00 -10.6%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No 200 0.375 $75.00 $61.00 +435.7%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? Yes 400 0.145 $58.00 $18.00 +45.0%
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes 150 0.230 $34.50 $-6.00 -14.8%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? Yes 70 0.327 $22.86 $1.16 +5.3%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 700 0.030 $21.00 $11.20 +114.3%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 200 0.075 $15.00 $-11.00 -42.3%
Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes 400 0.033 $13.20 $3.20 +32.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No 202 0.048 $9.60 $-2.34 -19.6%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? No 80 0.115 $9.20 $-22.80 -71.2%
Will Claude go down 14+ times in August? Yes 80 0.037 $2.96 $-5.84 -66.4%
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes 150 0.005 $0.82 $-36.68 -97.8%
Will Trump say "Middle East" in August? No 100 0.004 $0.35 $-0.65 -65.0%