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Trader leaderboard/0x1c3DC2273D64eBE2A99fA39dD8883130c8792FF5-1767525426111

0x1c3DC2273D64eBE2A99fA39dD8883130c8792FF5-1767525426111

0x1c3dc2273d64ebe2a99fa39dd8883130c8792ff5
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$36
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$14
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-11.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
33%
2W / 4L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
22%
2W / 7L
Trades (30d)
9
across 5 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$11.87
avg win $5 · loss $20
Profit Factor
0.12
$5 won / $40 lost
Reward / Risk
0.23
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,917 · all-time $287,509

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 38.0% 68W/111L 101 $16,109
⚽ Sports 33.3% 2W/4L 8 $1,158
🏛 Politics 90.9% 10W/1L 6 $1,649
💵 Economy 100.0% 2W/0L 2 $154
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/1L 2 $640

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

16 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? No 1,284 0.964 $1,237.40 $169.29 +15.8%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No 1,000 0.665 $664.99 $29.00 +4.6%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No 458 0.920 $421.06 $100.29 +31.3%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 200 0.465 $93.00 $-11.00 -10.6%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No 200 0.365 $73.00 $59.00 +421.4%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? Yes 400 0.125 $50.00 $10.00 +25.0%
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes 150 0.230 $34.50 $-6.00 -14.8%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? Yes 70 0.322 $22.54 $0.84 +3.9%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 700 0.032 $22.05 $12.25 +125.0%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 200 0.075 $15.00 $-11.00 -42.3%
Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes 400 0.033 $13.20 $3.20 +32.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No 202 0.042 $8.49 $-3.45 -28.9%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? No 80 0.105 $8.40 $-23.60 -73.7%
Will Claude go down 14+ times in August? Yes 80 0.086 $6.91 $-1.89 -21.5%
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes 150 0.005 $0.82 $-36.68 -97.8%
Will Trump say "Middle East" in August? No 100 0.004 $0.35 $-0.65 -65.0%