rar111
0x1bb734a860b0ad4f7e0ad58d5a884030a665543b
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$3
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+11.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
1W / 0L · 12 open
Win Return (30d)
92%
12W / 1L
Trades (30d)
13
across 7 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$2.66
avg win $3
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,076 · all-time $63,723
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
634 |
0.135 |
$85.59 |
$9.51 |
+12.5% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.075 |
$7.50 |
$0.50 |
+7.1% |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.690 |
$6.90 |
$1.20 |
+21.0% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
26 |
0.148 |
$3.93 |
$1.17 |
+42.6% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? |
Yes |
63 |
0.037 |
$2.34 |
$-5.96 |
-71.8% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the September interest rate announcement? |
Yes |
163 |
0.013 |
$2.03 |
$0.73 |
+56.2% |
| Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027? |
Yes |
50 |
0.038 |
$1.93 |
$-1.57 |
-45.0% |