| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
10,000 |
0.935 |
$9,350.00 |
$150.00 |
+1.6% |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? |
No |
7,824 |
0.940 |
$7,354.44 |
$268.13 |
+3.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
8,090 |
0.775 |
$6,270.12 |
$149.36 |
+2.4% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5,541 |
0.915 |
$5,070.22 |
$141.25 |
+2.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
No |
5,000 |
0.855 |
$4,275.00 |
$375.01 |
+9.6% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
4,021 |
0.935 |
$3,759.73 |
$131.76 |
+3.6% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? |
No |
3,496 |
0.920 |
$3,215.88 |
$97.45 |
+3.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
3,002 |
0.865 |
$2,596.35 |
$176.36 |
+7.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3,582 |
0.650 |
$2,328.09 |
$71.63 |
+3.2% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,266 |
0.925 |
$2,095.77 |
$62.78 |
+3.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,800 |
0.964 |
$1,734.30 |
$98.30 |
+6.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
1,800 |
0.885 |
$1,593.01 |
$9.00 |
+0.6% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
No |
1,801 |
0.805 |
$1,449.99 |
$75.06 |
+5.5% |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? |
No |
1,576 |
0.920 |
$1,449.75 |
$36.17 |
+2.6% |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,310 |
0.940 |
$1,231.30 |
$43.19 |
+3.6% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? |
No |
1,200 |
0.988 |
$1,185.60 |
$77.60 |
+7.0% |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,354 |
0.875 |
$1,184.34 |
$107.52 |
+10.0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
6,049 |
0.184 |
$1,116.06 |
$-165.98 |
-12.9% |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
1,100 |
0.954 |
$1,049.40 |
$4.74 |
+0.5% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
32,615 |
0.030 |
$994.74 |
$164.34 |
+19.8% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? |
Yes |
1,059 |
0.915 |
$969.11 |
$46.11 |
+5.0% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,282 |
0.750 |
$961.63 |
$-96.36 |
-9.1% |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? |
No |
1,000 |
0.915 |
$915.00 |
$-14.09 |
-1.5% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.885 |
$885.00 |
$-5.00 |
-0.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
1,000 |
0.835 |
$835.00 |
$-45.00 |
-5.1% |