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Trader leaderboard/0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023

0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023

0x1abc2b469b5ded495d6c8b21fc79dcb8d8f345e7
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$643
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
52%
2,647W / 2,432L · 203 open
Win Return (30d)
52%
2,659W / 2,435L · 188 open
Trades (30d)
5,282
across 1,594 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.44
avg win $3 · loss $3
Profit Factor
1.32
$2,627 won / $1,984 lost
Reward / Risk
1.23
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$117
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $45,343 · all-time $2,222,469

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.3% 11,627W/10,184L 6607 $254,537
🌤 Weather 44.2% 477W/601L 369 $7,354
⚽ Sports 35.9% 151W/270L 271 $4,243
🏛 Politics 32.4% 55W/115L 69 $6,090
🎬 Culture 30.1% 37W/86L 36 $1,456
💵 Economy 21.9% 7W/25L 16 $2,824
₿ Crypto 66.7% 8W/4L 9 $485
🤖 Tech 26.3% 5W/14L 5 $554

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

73 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 5? No 159 0.930 $148.31 $148.31 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 5? No 148 0.996 $147.61 $-0.52 -0.4%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 5? No 131 1.000 $131.07 $131.07 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5? No 148 0.710 $105.28 $-0.24 -0.2%
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5? No 213 0.450 $95.70 $-8.51 -8.2%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No 220 0.325 $71.45 $1.10 +1.6%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 5? No 33 1.000 $33.22 $33.22 +0.0%
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? No 102 0.270 $27.54 $27.54 +0.0%
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30? Yes 64 0.405 $25.92 $16.78 +183.5%
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day? No 27 0.875 $23.62 $23.62 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 5? No 21 1.000 $20.92 $7.52 +56.2%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 5? No 20 0.997 $20.40 $-0.04 -0.2%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 5? No 20 0.999 $20.37 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 5? No 20 0.998 $20.34 $20.34 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on August 5? No 20 0.997 $20.32 $20.32 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 5? No 20 0.981 $20.00 $20.00 +0.0%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 5? No 20 0.977 $19.98 $-0.44 -2.2%
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? No 34 0.560 $18.91 $18.91 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 5? No 20 0.920 $18.76 $18.76 +0.0%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 5? No 20 0.900 $18.43 $2.26 +14.0%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 5? No 49 0.375 $18.42 $18.42 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 5? No 20 0.880 $17.94 $17.94 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 5? No 18 0.945 $17.24 $-0.97 -5.3%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 5? No 20 0.750 $15.35 $15.35 +0.0%
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? No 21 0.615 $13.21 $13.21 +0.0%