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Trader leaderboard/0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023

0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023

0x1abc2b469b5ded495d6c8b21fc79dcb8d8f345e7
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$627
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$65
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
42%
251W / 340L · 279 open
Win Return (30d)
47%
403W / 459L · 8 open
Trades (30d)
870
across 143 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$6.21
avg win $12 · loss $22
Profit Factor
0.48
$584 won / $1,211 lost
Reward / Risk
0.55
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$216
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $46,508 · all-time $2,223,633

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.3% 11,653W/10,209L 6622 $254,754
🌤 Weather 44.1% 477W/604L 373 $7,384
⚽ Sports 35.9% 151W/270L 271 $4,243
🏛 Politics 32.4% 55W/115L 69 $6,091
🎬 Culture 30.1% 37W/86L 36 $1,457
💵 Economy 21.9% 7W/25L 16 $2,824
₿ Crypto 66.7% 8W/4L 9 $485
🤖 Tech 26.3% 5W/14L 5 $554

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

76 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5? No 213 1.000 $212.56 $108.35 +104.0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 5? No 159 1.000 $159.39 $159.39 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 5? No 140 0.999 $139.55 $-0.07 -0.1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 5? No 131 1.000 $131.07 $131.07 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 5? Yes 104 0.985 $102.19 $24.45 +31.4%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No 220 0.325 $71.45 $1.10 +1.6%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on August 5? No 49 0.997 $48.81 $48.81 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 5? No 49 0.984 $48.15 $-0.27 -0.6%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 5? No 49 0.895 $43.82 $43.82 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 5? No 38 1.000 $37.87 $0.36 +1.0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 5? No 33 1.000 $33.22 $33.22 +0.0%
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? No 102 0.285 $29.06 $29.06 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 5? No 59 0.480 $28.42 $28.42 +0.0%
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30? Yes 64 0.400 $25.60 $16.46 +180.0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 5? No 42 0.605 $25.34 $25.34 +0.0%
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day? No 27 0.875 $23.62 $23.62 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 5? No 20 1.000 $20.38 $0.01 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 5? No 20 1.000 $20.38 $20.38 +0.0%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 5? No 20 0.995 $20.36 $-0.08 -0.4%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 5? No 20 0.990 $20.25 $-0.17 -0.9%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 5? No 20 0.937 $19.18 $3.01 +18.6%
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? No 34 0.560 $18.91 $18.91 +0.0%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 5? No 49 0.345 $16.94 $16.94 +0.0%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 5? No 20 0.680 $13.91 $13.91 +0.0%
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? No 21 0.615 $13.21 $13.21 +0.0%