PnL (30d)

+$115

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1,440

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+5.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

31%

35W / 77L · 10 open

Win Return (30d)

29%

35W / 87L

Trades (30d)

122

across 17 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

+$7.18

avg win $93 · loss $21

Profit Factor

1.45

$371 won / $256 lost

Reward / Risk

4.35

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	25.4% 45W/132L	37	$4,557
🏛 Politics	—	1	$6
⚽ Sports	—	1	$3

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	792	0.385	$304.76	$-13.02	-4.1%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	3,828	0.075	$287.10	$-257.05	-47.2%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	3,829	0.034	$130.20	$-1,452.16	-91.8%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	1,013	0.095	$96.22	$-101.81	-51.4%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	610	0.085	$51.85	$-9.95	-16.1%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	240	0.215	$51.60	$-26.30	-33.8%
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	172	0.255	$43.99	$-8.96	-16.9%
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31?	Yes	493	0.075	$37.00	$-11.13	-23.1%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	230	0.145	$33.35	$8.75	+35.6%
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	36	0.845	$30.59	$7.42	+32.0%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	70	0.065	$4.55	$-1.05	-18.8%