PnL (30d)

−$74

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$37

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-16.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 32L · 27 open

Win Return (30d)

5%

3W / 56L

Trades (30d)

59

across 7 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

−$73.68

· loss $74

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $74 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	25.4% 45W/132L	37	$4,558
🏛 Politics	—	1	$6
⚽ Sports	—	1	$3

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	796	0.375	$298.38	$-20.91	-6.5%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	3,828	0.065	$248.82	$-295.33	-54.3%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	3,829	0.032	$120.63	$-1,461.73	-92.4%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	1,013	0.095	$96.22	$-101.81	-51.4%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	610	0.085	$51.85	$-9.95	-16.1%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	240	0.215	$51.60	$-26.30	-33.8%
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	172	0.255	$43.99	$-8.96	-16.9%
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31?	Yes	493	0.075	$37.00	$-11.13	-23.1%
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	36	0.845	$30.59	$7.42	+32.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	230	0.125	$28.75	$4.15	+16.9%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	70	0.065	$4.55	$-1.05	-18.8%