| Will fewer than 200 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2? |
No |
226 |
0.988 |
$222.98 |
$152.98 |
+218.5% |
| Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by August 31? |
No |
193 |
0.680 |
$131.06 |
$71.06 |
+118.4% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 3, 2026? |
No |
121 |
0.990 |
$120.04 |
$20.04 |
+20.0% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
143 |
0.785 |
$112.14 |
$12.14 |
+12.1% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 12, 2026? |
No |
101 |
0.955 |
$96.57 |
$6.57 |
+7.3% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 11, 2026? |
No |
101 |
0.935 |
$94.60 |
$4.60 |
+5.1% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 28, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.925 |
$92.50 |
$2.50 |
+2.8% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 14, 2026? |
No |
101 |
0.915 |
$92.17 |
$2.17 |
+2.4% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 19, 2026? |
No |
85 |
0.910 |
$77.53 |
$7.53 |
+10.8% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 8, 2026? |
No |
80 |
0.900 |
$71.59 |
$1.59 |
+2.3% |
| Will Eduardo Camavinga join Inter Milan? |
No |
56 |
0.955 |
$53.03 |
$3.03 |
+6.1% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 16, 2026? |
No |
56 |
0.930 |
$51.93 |
$1.93 |
+3.9% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 21, 2026? |
No |
56 |
0.930 |
$51.67 |
$1.67 |
+3.3% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 24, 2026? |
No |
45 |
0.905 |
$41.14 |
$1.14 |
+2.8% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 5, 2026? |
No |
58 |
0.496 |
$28.57 |
$-21.43 |
-42.9% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 5, 2026? |
No |
46 |
0.615 |
$28.05 |
$-11.95 |
-29.9% |
| Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by August 15? |
No |
47 |
0.585 |
$27.21 |
$7.21 |
+36.0% |
| Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July? |
No |
31 |
0.595 |
$18.31 |
$-1.69 |
-8.5% |
| Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 10, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.890 |
$17.45 |
$7.45 |
+74.5% |
| Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by August 31? |
No |
14 |
0.925 |
$13.41 |
$3.41 |
+34.1% |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
Yes |
15 |
0.725 |
$10.98 |
$0.98 |
+9.8% |
| Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess? |
Yes |
12 |
0.305 |
$3.72 |
$-1.28 |
-25.6% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15? |
Yes |
5 |
0.450 |
$2.33 |
$-0.67 |
-22.4% |
| Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026? |
No |
21 |
0.045 |
$0.96 |
$-9.04 |
-90.4% |